October 27, 2013

Pac 12 Preview: Predictions

1. Stanford. Well this is a Stanford site, LOL

Best Player Chiney.
Top Newcomer: Erica McCall
Player needed to step up: Michaela Ruef, especially with the loss of Beebe, but Ruef can be an excellent passer either out for threes or into the post.


2. Cal
Best Player Gennifer Brandon.
Top Newcomer: Courtney Range.
Player needed to step up: Reshanda Gray. Gray is already very good but Brandon has a leg injury and while Cal expects Brandon back Gray will either provide the post play or a tremendous 1-2 in the post.


3. USC.
Best Player: Cassie Harberts
Top Newcomer: Jordan Adams
Player Needed to step up: Adams. Jordan Adams was a top 10 player out of High School and will be the point guard. A tremendous player when healthy, but missed almost all of last season with an injury.


4. Colorado
Best Player: Arielle Robertson, the Pac 12 Frosh of the Year after missing her true frosh year with an injury.
Top Newcomer: Zoe Bread-Fails. Zoe tore her ACL as a HS Jr and is now recovered. Not highly rated but somewhat under the radar.
Player Needed to step up: Lexy Kresl. Lexy has been a starting guard. Colorado has good post players but need Lexy to step up to replace Chucky Jeffrey.


5. Washington
Best Player: Jasmine Davis
Top Newcomer: Katie Collier. Katie missed her frosh season with an ACL but came to Washington as a top 20 player. Katie active in the post will push Washington towards the top of the Pac 12.
Player Needed to step up: Kelsey Plum. Plum is just a frosh so a bit unfair but she is a tremendous three point shooter and if she can adjust quickly to the college game that will make the Husky post play that much better.


6. UCLA
Best Player: Antonye Nyingifa
Top Newcomer: Luiana Livolo. Livolo is a JC transfer from Portugal and if starting post Corrine Costa is out Livolo will be a huge key to success. At this point the severity of Costa’s injury is not public.
Player Needed to Step Up: Nirra Fields. Fields was a top 10 player out of HS and was a bit lost as a frosh but UCLA is really depending on her.


7. Oregon State:
Best Player: Jamie Weisner
Top Newcomer: Sydney Weise a frosh guard who in HS was a tremendous three point shooter.
Player Needed to Step Up: Samantha Siegner a 6-2 soph. The Beavers really need good play inside and Siegner was a top 100 player out of HS.


8. Washington State
Best Player: Lia Gladiera
Top Newcomer: Ivana Kmetovska from Europe is their only newcomber.
Player Needed to Step Up: Shalie Dkeensaw a 6-4 Jr Post. The Cougars are guard heavy post light.


9. Utah

Best Player: Michelle Plouffe
Top Newcomer: Emily Potter a 6-5 frosh from Canada
Player Needed to Step Up: Danielle Rodriquez who started all but one game will really have to increase here scoring. Or it’s Potter who should start with the sad news that outstanding post player Taryn Wicijowski tore her ACL several weeks ago.



10. Arizona State
Top Player: Joy Burke, the 6-5 post or Deja Mann
Top Newcomer: Deja Mann. The Jr Guard missed last season with a knee injury.
Player Needed to Step Up: Katie Hempton a transfer from Southern Illinois



11. Arizona
Top Player: Candice Warthen who missed last season with a knee injury
Top Newcomer: LaBrittany Jones a 6-1 forward
Player Needed to Step up: Erica Barnes, 6-2 post. Alli Gloyd who started at forward with Barnes last season recently tore her ACL and is out for the year.



12. Oregon
Top Player: Jillian Allyene, the Media Pac 12 Frosh of the year.
Top Newcomer: Katelyn Loper a transfer a year ago from Hofstra where she averaged 11 points per game.
Player Needed to Step Up: Laura Stanulis a guard who missed almost all of last season who replaces Jordan Loera who recently went down with an ACL.




October 23, 2013

Pac 12 Preview: Cal

Last Season: Cal was the co Pac 12 Champ with Stanford and advanced to the Final 4. A great season at 32-4 and 17-1 in Pac 12 play.


The Coaches:
Lindsay Gottlieb is in her 3rd year as Head Coach at Cal after 3 years as Head Coach at UCSB and two years before that as the lead Assistant at Cal. In five years as Head Coach two outright first place finishes and another co-championship and also a 2nd place finish and of course last season’s Final 4.

Charmin Smith with 2 degrees from Stanford returns for her 7th season at Cal and is now the Associate Head Coach.

Kate Steding, a Stanford grad, returns for her 2nd year at Cal after 2 years as Associate Head Coach at USF.

Kai Felton is back for her 3rd year at Cal. Kai has been an Assistant at Oregon, 2 years, and at USC, 5 years.
Smith, Steding and Felton were all outstanding players.



Losses:
Layshia Clarendon was as close to a top 5 All American as possible. She averaged 16 points per game, shooting at 45%. She also made 41 threes at 33%. Layshia was Cal’s go to player, and the opponents knew it and couldn’t stop her in clutch time.

Talia Caldwell was the Center averaging 9 points and 7 rebounds per game and shooting at 57%. Caldwell was even better on defense.

Eliza Pierre averaged just 3 points per game but was Cal’s defensive stopper.



Additions:
Brittany Shine is a 5-10 Jr guard who sat out last season after transferring from the University of Florida. Shine is from Sacramento and played travel with Sara James. Shine scored 28 in an early season game her frosh year at Florida, but her playing time decreased as a soph and she transferred to Cal last year. Shine was # 88 in the country out of High School.

Kyra Dunn is a 6-3 Jr post/power forward who is also a transfer. Dunn transferred from Pitt. Dunn was both a High School and Travel teammate of Shine. As a High School Sr Dunn averaged 11 blocked shots per game. At Pitt Dunn averaged 9 minutes per game as a frosh but as a Soph started most games and averaged 5 points and almost 6 rebounds per game. Dunn transferred to Cal for their 2nd semester and I believe will be eligible Dec 15 to play for Cal.

Courtney Range is a 6-3 wing from the Stockton area. Range played her first 3 years at the fabled St Mary’s of Stockton. Range was ranked 36, 38 and 43 out of High School. She is very long and quick and at 6-3 should she considerable playing time at several positions immediately.

Kendall Waters is a 6-2 power forward from Oakland’s Bishop O’Dowd High School who was ranked from # 42 to 54 out of High School. Waters is strong and very good scorer to 15’.

Mercedes Jefflo is a 5-10 frosh guard from Southern California ranked as high as 74 and 102 out of High School. Cal expects Mercedes to be a strong defensive player right off the bat.

Hind Ben Abdelkader is a 5-7 frosh guard from Belgium who played on their U17 team a year ago and was the high scorer at 19 per game at the World Championships.

So 6 newcomers, 4 frosh and 2 Jr transfers.



The Schedule:
Cal plays the Oregon schools, Colorado and Utah once each. The non- conference schedule overall isn’t tough, but Cal plays UConn and Duke, two top 5 teams. They don’t play anyone else with a last year’s RPI under 75. Georgetown, Wake Forest, UOP and Northwestern are on their schedule and all had RPIs from 77-97.



The Team:
Three starters return for the Bears, Boyd, Brandon and Jemerigbe.

Brittany Boyd is a 5-9 Jr and the Point Guard. Last season Boyd averaged 12 points, 5 rebounds and over 4 assists per game, with a fine 1.5:1 turnover ratio.

Gennifer Brandon is a 6-2 5th year Sr who will be at forward. Last season Brandon averaged a double, double, 12 points and 11 rebounds per game. However Brandon had a leg operation this summer and it’s unknown when she will be available. Public signs point to November at some point.

Afure Jemerigbe is a 6-0 Sr wing who averaged 7 points per game and led the team with 45 threes at 31%.
Reshanda Gray is a 6-3 Sr Post who averaged 8 points and 5 rebounds in 20 minutes per game last season. Gray, like Brandon and Jemerigbe were McDonalds All Americans in High School.

Mikayla Lyles is a 5-8 Sr guard. Last season she averaged 3 points in 10 minutes per game. Lyles made 26 threes at 35%. Lyles played travel with Dunn, Shine and Sara James.

Justine Hartman is a 6-2 Jr center who last season averaged 3 points and 3 rebounds in 11 minutes per game. Hartman was ranked # 7 out of High School the highest ranked player ever to enter Cal.

Avigiel Cohen is a 6-0 Sr guard who averaged less than a point in 5 minutes per game.

Hard to tell at this point who the 5th starter might be with Boyd, Brandon, Gary and Jemerigbe. My guess is Courtney Range, but Brittany Shine is a good guess also. And maybe both if Brandon is out for a while. Dunn, Hind and Waters should get good minutes off the bench.



Predictions:
With 6 new players it may take a bit before they gel, although Dunn and Shine has practiced with the team for a year or so now. The losses are big but some outstanding players return and Cal with fight for the Pac 12 Championship.



2014 Recruiting:
Gabby Green is a 6-1 point guard ranked # 9 overall. Her High School teammate 6-1 wing Alexis Cowling is ranked # 20 overall. Their High School is St Mary’s of Berkeley.

October 15, 2013

Pac 12 Preview: UCLA

Last Season:
UCLA had a great 26-8 record advancing to the Pac 12 final game. The Bruins were 14-4 in Pac 12 play. They ended the season losing to Oklahoma after beating Stetson in the NCAA tournament.


The Coaches:
Cori Close is back for her 3rd season at UCLA. Close is from Milpitas and was a longtime assistant at UCSB in their heyday and then Florida State.

Jenny Huth is back for her 3rd season as an assistant. Jenny Roulier then, was a standout player for Colorado 1998-2002.

Tony Newnan is also in his 3rd year as an assistant. He was an assistant at Westmont College in Santa Barbara before coming to UCLA and was an assistant at Oregon State before that.

Shannon Perry is back for her 3rd year as an assistant and was an assistant at Duke for 5 seasons.


Losses:
Here’s a stat: UCLA played 34 games and their leading scorer in 27 of those games has graduated or is hurt and out for the year.

First the really sad news that UCLA has already lost two players to ACLs. Kori Korver averaged 5 points a game as a frosh. The 5-9 guard would have seen considerable playing time this season. Korver hit a team high 38 threes at 35%.
6-3 Jr Kacy Swain also tore her ACL and like Korver out for this season. Swain averaged 3 points and 3 rebounds per game.

Alyssia Brewer, Markel Walker, Jasmine Dixon and Mariah Williams all graduated. Six players started 24 or more games and the graduated Srs were four of the six.

Brewer was the starting post and averaged 11 points, 2nd on the team and a team leading 8 rebounds per game.

Walker averaged 11 points and 7 rebounds and lead the team with 5.5 assists per game, more than double the next player.

Dixon averaged 8 points and 6 rebounds per game while recovering from missing the previous season with an injury.

Williams averaged 4 points and was 2nd on the team in assists.

Six big losses for the Bruins to overcome.



Additions:
Savanna Trapp is a 6-9, yes 6-9, frosh center and the plan is to redshirt her. Trapp was ranked as high as 41 but most had her about 150-200. The plan seems to remand to redshirt her despite the two injuries.

Dominique Williams is a 5-9 point guard from Arizona, ranked 94 and 111 by two Sites. She played HS with Courtney Ekmark who is committed to UConn in the 2014 class.

Paulina Hersler is a 6-2 frosh power forward, a year older than most, from Sweden. Paulina played on the Swedish National 16U and 18U teams and led all Europeans in scoring at the 18U with 21 points per game. She shots threes very well, making 52 at 47% for her team a year ago, and is a strong rebounder. Sadly Paulina had a knee operation several months ago and is predicted to be back in January in time for conference play.

Luiana Livolo is a 6-3 Center from Portugal by way of Northwest Florida JC. Livolo is a redshirt Jr with 2 years to play. She played on Portugal’s 16U, 18U and 20U teams. She is a fine rebounder but not yet a solid offensive player.



The Schedule:
UCLA plays the Arizona and the Washington schools once each. The non-conference schedule is a killer:
At Nebraska, North Carolina and Oklahoma at Home, at Notre Dame. They do play in a fairly weak tournament in Florida but even the games not mentioned here will not be easy.


The Team:
Thea Lemberger is a 5-7 Sr and will start at the point guard position. Last season Thea averaged almost 9 points per game, starting 24 games. Thea made 27 threes at 31%.

The other guard should be Nirra Fields a 5-9 soph who averaged 8 point in just 19 minutes per game, and made 21 threes at 36%. Fields was a top 10 player out of High School.

At Center will be 6-4 redshirt Jr Corrine Costa who sat out most of last season with an head injury, after playing 5 games. Costa already is on the top 10 UCLA list for career blocks, and her 50 2 seasons ago ranks 2nd for a single UCLA season.

Atonye Nyingifa is a 6th year 5-11 forward who was the Bruins leading scorer last season at 11.6points per game. Atonye was 3rd in rebounding with 7.1 per game, high was 7.7. She is an outstanding offensive player in the paint.

Lauren Holiday is the probable 5th starter, she’s a 5-9 redshirt frosh who played 3 games then had a head injury last season.

That’s a three guard line up with only one player 6’ or taller.

Rhema Gardner is a 6-1 redshirt Jr wing who missed last season with a knee, not ACL, injury. She started 20 games 2 seasons ago.

Then we have the four newcomers, one will be redshirted and one will be out until January.


Predictions:
The injury bug, giant bug, has really hit UCLA the past two years. Three didn’t play last year, Dixon and Nyingifa missed all season two years ago and two are out for this year. A 500 season, especially with their non-conference schedule might be good. But wait until next season.



2014 Recruiting:
Jordin Canada 5-6 point guard ranked # 4 in the country
Recee’ Caldwell 5-8 point guard ranked # 6
Lajahna Drummer 6-2 power forward # 10
Monique Billings, 6-2 post # 17
Kelli Hayes 6-0 wing # 42
The # 1 Class in the Nation by far.

October 1, 2013

Pac 12 Preview: Oregon

Last Season:
4-27 and 2-16 in Pac 12 play. Attendance is down to an average of 1575 for the school that had great attendance once.



The Coaches:
Paul Westhead begins his 6th season as the Oregon Head Coach. The Ducks record gets worse and worse.

Dan Muscatell returns for his 5th straight season and 11th overall as an Oregon Assistant. He was Head Coach before his 2nd tour with Oregon at Sacramento State.

Shandrika Lee is back for her 3rd season after being at Army and before that Cal Poly.

Bianca Ziemann is back for her 2nd season after a year at Loyola Marymount.


Losses:
Only Devyn Galland who isn’t on the roster although wasn’t a Sr last season. She averaged 7 points in just 18 minutes per game.


Additions:
Oregon got what could be a very good transfer last year in 5-11 Katelyn Loper who is now eligible after sitting out a year. Loper is a guard who played 2 years at Hofstra. In those two years she averaged 12 points per game and 71 threes at 35%. Her high was 29 and that was against St John’s.
Shae Rowe is a 5-10 frosh guard ranked from 67 to 156 out of HS. Rowe averaged 20 points per game in each of her last two HS seasons with two games in the 40’s. Played on the # 7 team, Santiago of Corona, CA.
Drea Tolar is a 5-5 frosh guard from SoCal. Tolar is a Point Guard and played for the IV Stare Champs last season.


The Schedule:
UConn in Hartford, Princeton the next toughest, then lower conferences. The Beavers play Cal, Stanford, Colorado and Utah once each.


The Team:
Leading the way is the Media’s choice for Pac 12 Frosh of the Year Jillian Alleyne. Jillian is a 6-3 soph and averaged 13 points and 12 rebounds a game to lead the Ducks in both categories. She’s a force in the paint.

At the other forward will be 6-2 Sr Danielle Love. Love averaged 7 points and 4 rebounds per game.

The guards will be Ariel Thomas a 5-6 Sr who has averaged 8, 9 then 11 points per game her last three seasons. Thomas is very quick. The other guard is 5-9 Jr Jordan Loaera who averaged 7 points and third on the team 5 rebounds per game. Jordan’s Mom played at Oregon and Thomas played Travel with Sara James.

The Post will be 6-4 Jr Megan Carpenter and after volleyball 6-1 Jr Liz Brenner. Carpenter averaged 4 points and 5 rebounds per game but when Brenner arrived for conference play Carpenter’s playing time decreased. Brenner averaged 8 points and 7 rebounds and 30 minutes per game. Brenner is an outstanding Volleyball player and her brother is a lineman on the Oregon Football team.

If three guards, and that’s possible, Amanda Delgado is a 5-7 Jr who lead the team with 59 threes almost double over the # 2 shooter and averaged 9 points per game.

Two others should get lots of playing time as should the transfer Loper profiled above. Laura Stanulis was a starter for the first 5 games last season then suffered a season ending injury. The 5-9 5th year guard averaged 8 points per game when she did play. Lexi Peterson is a 5-11 soph guard who missed last season except for the first game. Again, a season ending injury. Lexi scored 11 points in her one game.


Predictions:
The Ducks really had injury problems last season and if all healthy they may improve quite a bit. However right now it looks like and 11th or 12th place team in the Pac 12.


2014 Recruiting:
MacKynzie Fort 5-9 guard # 203, Mariah Williams 5-10 guard # 241 and Tatum Nuebert 6-2 forward # 328